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Battle for Five States: All the Big Predictions in Exit Polls 2017

Read all the exit poll predictions for the five states and 690 seats.

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Following balloting in five states – Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur – between 4 February and 8 March, the exit poll predictions were announced on Thursday.

While the vote count is due on Saturday, here are the big highlights from the exit poll projections:

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Lotus to Bloom in Uttar Pradesh

The average exit poll results – which in the past have proven to be unreliable – gave 180 seats to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 403-member Uttar Pradesh assembly, way short of the 202-mark needed to form a government.

According to the NewsX-MRC poll, the BJP and its allies may win 185 seats, the Congress-Samajwadi Party combine 120, and the Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) 90.

The India TV-CVoter exit poll predicted 155-167 seats for the BJP, 135-147 for the Samajwadi-Congress alliance and 81-93 for the BSP.

The India Today-Axis poll, however, gave the BJP a comfortable majority of 251-279 seats.

Read all the updates from Uttar Pradesh as they happened here.

BJP-Akali Dal Stare at Rout in Punjab

Despite being a new entrant in the state of Punjab, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) might give the Congress a tough fight.

India TV-CVoter exit poll gave the AAP 59-67 seats. The half-way mark in the Punjab assembly is 59 seats.

NewsX-MRC and News24-Chanakya showed the latest entrant in national politics winning 51-55 seats in Punjab.

But India Today-Axis predicted a Congress win with 62-71 seats. All these polls forecast a BJP-Akali rout after 10 years in office.

Read the predictions from Punjab as they happened.

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Hung Assembly in Goa?

In Goa, the average polls predicted a hung assembly.

India Today-Axis predicted 18-22 seats for the BJP and 9-13 for the Congress. The India TV-CVoter poll said the BJP was expected to win 15-21 seats, the Congress and its allies 12-18, and the AAP 0-4 seats.

The NewsX-MRC survey said the BJP may get 15, the Congress 10 and the AAP seven.

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Uttarakhand to Swing the BJP Way

Uttarakhand, according to the exit poll average, is likely to swing in favour of the BJP.

IndiaToday-Axis gave the BJP 46-53 seats and the ruling Congress 12-21 in the state. News24-Chanakya also gave the BJP 53 seats and the Congress 15.

The India TV-CVoter poll findings said both the BJP and Congress were neck and neck –29-35 seats – but short of a majority in the 70-member house.

NewsX-MRC said the BJP may get 38 seats and the Congress 30 in Uttarakhand.

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A BJP, Congress Fight in Manipur

In Congress-ruled Manipur, the BJP is expected to win 25-31 seats in the 60-member house, as predicted by the India TV-CVoter survey. The Congress may finish second with 17-23 seats.

The IndiaToday-Axis poll, however, showed the Congress winning 30-36 and the BJP 16-22.

Read the developments from Goa, Uttarakhand and Manipur as they happened.

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