- The feeling of triumph prevalent across the country after the surgical strikes was short-lived
- It didn’t take long for Pakistan to launch its offensive against India along the LoC and in Kashmir valley.
- India must strengthen its military muscle to thwart any threats.
- India should pursue diplomatic measures to get Pakistan declared a terror state globally.
- India should move on from gloating about the surgical strikes and look towards the future.
The last three weeks may not have been as historically momentous as some in the establishment would like us to believe, but certainly India has been in the news, both domestically and globally, for good reasons.
The reported surgical strikes conducted by India on 29 September 2016 at seven Pakistani terror-camp locations across the volatile Line of Control (LoC) changed the mood of the nation in one swift master-stroke.
That all political parties in India, cutting across party lines, unequivocally feted the Indian Army and the Modi government for this timely initiative to teach a perennially treacherous Pakistan a befitting lesson, showcased to the world Indian unity when confronted with a national challenge.
However, happy tidings have a nasty habit of not lingering for long.
The Unity After the Strikes Was Short-Lived
With the euphoria of India’s ‘macho’ actions against a terror-exporting Pakistan gradually receding, the mood in India’s agitated political environment is back to its not-so-cordial normalcy.
Electronic media channels, naturally looking for better TRPs, seemed to exacerbate the eternal political divide by pinning down some political parties with awkward and insolent questions on the parties’ sense of nationalism and their degree of support to the government, as if it is a quantifiable commodity.
Most political outfits seem to have walked into the media trap with the ruling party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), chest-thumping themselves as the sole repository of fiery patriotism, leaving other political dispensations in the country far behind in self-assessed jingoistic formulations.
Anyway, the media does not direct national policies and hence it is time for the nation to leave behind the cacophony of proving one’s patriotism, introspect, and seriously plan for the myriad of challenges looming ahead.
Pakistan Is Rigorously Fuelling Tension
India's surgical strike targeting Pakistan over a frontage of 250 km across the LoC in Kashmir has sent a clear message to the state and non-state actors’ conglomerate in Pakistan that India’s restraint must not be taken for granted.
However, it is apparent once again that history has a bad habit of repeating itself where Pakistan is concerned.
Terror activities inside the Kashmir Valley are once again increasing, with the Pakistanis and their terrorist proteges taking on the security forces, snatching rifles from Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) police personnel, besides committing arson at unprotected governmental buildings.
Pakistan has upped the ante along the International Border (IB) and LoC with unprovoked firings and multiple infiltration endeavours into J&K before the onset of snow, as happens each year.
Their numerous sleeper cells would have been instructed to indulge in some sensational terror acts, not only in J&K but in the Indian hinterland, especially in the current festival season and in areas where there are large public congregations.
With Pakistani mischief in full flow, India now needs to zealously implement some baby steps it pragmatically initiated recently.
India Should Now Work on Its Military Strength & Diplomatic Measures
First and foremost, India must build up its military muscle with alacrity to thwart threats emanating from a two half-front challenge (China, Pakistan and internal security), even collectively (in a worst-case scenario).
Combat capabilities take very long to fructify, and thus, both the armed forces and the government need to address operational voids with the urgency it deserves.
Secondly, India must pursue relentlessly the diplomatic measures it has instituted recently with the global community and the UN to get Pakistan declared a terrorist state.
The singular way for Pakistan to be taught a lesson to live in a civilised way is for the many nations who fund Pakistan to stem the flow of financial aid. In the current scenario, the US and other EU nations may do so whilst China and Saudi Arabia will ensure that Pakistan remains financially solvent.
China’s Support for Pakistan Is Etched in Stone
For China, its strategic game-changer, namely, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and development of the Gwadar port is only possible with Pakistan's submission to the Chinese, and thus come what may, China's support for Pakistan is etched in stone.
That the CPEC runs through the “disputed territories” in Gilgit-Baltistan and Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK) is hardly of consequence to a nation like China, which scoffs at internationally accepted norms in statecraft.
Nevertheless, Pakistan's consistent record in promoting terrorism across the world must prompt the international community to impose economic sanctions against it. Diplomatic ostracisation by the world community must be pursued with greater determination by India, as done at the recently concluded BRICS-BIMSTEC meetings in Goa.
Pakistan's stock has predictably fallen with its South Asian neighbours and over the globe as Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's lamenting the same to his Chief of the Army Staff (COAS) indicated.
US Must Now Factor in Pakistan’s Untrustworthiness
India needs to carve out a consistent and coherent policy towards its continually errant neighbor.
India must cut off all economic, social and diplomatic ties with Pakistan. Diplomatic representation with Pakistan should be downgraded with immediate effect. Pakistan has prevented Indian trade with Afghanistan and thence towards the Central Asian Republics, so we must take away the most-favored nation status granted to Pakistan that is not reciprocated by them.
The enduring message to Pakistan should be that we do not need them anyway.
The villain-de-piece in Pakistan is its own army. Far from defending its country, the Pakistani Army is busy guarding its multi-billion dollar industry (FAUJI Foundation, Shaheen Foundation, Bahria Inc and the like) and perpetuating the opulent lifestyles of its officers.
The Americans, who have traditionally looked the other way and glossed over the many sins of their errant protege, must now factor in the untrustworthiness of the Pakistani army and its unwavering ties with anti-US terrorist outfits.
If nuclear waywardness ever results, it will stem from a failing state like Pakistan with repercussions not only for the region but for the world. Nevertheless, the Pakistani army can take comfort in the precedent that the US is not brimming with strategic prudence anyway.
Keeping one’s guard up in totality and the powder dry, India has to be ready for any eventuality in the entire spectrum of conflict. Persistent gloating over a moderate tactical success across the LoC is hardly becoming of the largest state in South Asia as it endeavours to establish a safe and harmonious environment in the region.
(Published in arrangement with IANS)
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