Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA

Catch all the live updates on the Assam exit polls here.

With the Model Code of Conduct (MCC) being lifted on Thursday, 29 April, several exit polls for the Assam Assembly elections predicted a victory for the NDA and massive gains for the UPA.

Three out of four surveys – CVoter, India Today-Axis My India, and Republic-CNX – predicted a majority for the BJP-led alliance. Today's Chanakya predicted a range of 61-79 seats for the NDA, with the majority mark at 63.

According to the CVoter survey, the UPA is expected to register a significant gain in vote share – from 31% in 2016 to 48.8% in 2021.

• The results of the Assam Assembly elections will be declared on 2 May
• The elections in the state were held from 27 March to 6 April, in three phases
• Jailed activist and prominent peasant leader Akhil Gogoi and other candidates of his party, Raijor Dal, fought the elections as Independents
• During the last Assembly elections in 2016, the BJP had allied with AGP and BPF, which have three ministers in the Assam Cabinet headed by Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal

3 Surveys Predict BJP-led Alliance to Likely Retain Power in Assam

The BJP-led alliance is likely to retain power in Assam, according to three exit poll surveys.

CVoter Vote Projection

According to the CVoter survey, 42.9 percent of votes are expected to go to the BJP-led alliance. The UPA is expected to register a significant gain of the vote share from 31% in 2016 to 48.8% in 2021. The remaining 8.3 percent are expected to go to Others.

Today's Chanakya Seat Projection

BJP-led Alliance: 70 ± 9 Seats
Congress-led Alliance: 56 ± 9 Seats
Others 00 ± 3 Seats

India Today - Axis My India and Republic-CNX Predict Majority for NDA

According to the India Today - Axis My India exit poll, BJP-led alliance in Assam is expected to get a majority with 75 to 85 seats, the Congress-led Mahajot alliance to win 40 to 50 seats and Others to win one to 4 seats in the Assembly.

Meanwhile, Republic - CNX exit poll also projects BJP-led alliance to win a majority with 74 to 84 seats, while Congress-led mahajot alliance is projected to win 40 to 50 and Others will win one to 3 seats.