advertisement
(As Defence Minister, Manohar Parrikar visits US and it’s being speculated that India and US could sign the Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA), The Quint is re-publishing a piece from its archives on the contentious defence pact and its strategic importance. The article was first published on 11 April 2016.)
The current visit to India (April 10-12) of US Defence Secretary, Ashton Carter, which began in Goa has been described by him as a “strategic handshake”. It is expected that the uneven bilateral defence cooperation, first mooted more than 20 years ago after the end of the Cold War, will now be firmly rooted in tangible long-term projects that will enhance India’s composite military capability.
Dr Carter is an experienced defence official and no stranger to India. Over the years, he has been identified with the technology transfer initiative, now formalised between the two countries as the DTTI – the Defence Technology and Trade Initiative. This programme naturally complements the Modi government’s ‘Make in India’ focus, and will hopefully enhance India’s very modest indigenous defence production capacity.
However, in as much as there has been earnest rhetorical commitment between the two countries, actual progress on the ground remains limited and the tactical dissonance over other issues poses a challenge to the realisation of the ‘strategic handshake’ goal.
A high-visibility item on
the bilateral agenda is the Indian reluctance to sign three agreements
that are often described as ‘foundational’.
These include:
The LSA
(Logistic Support Agreement)
The CISMOA (Communication and Information
Security Memorandum of Agreement) The BECA (Basic Exchange and Cooperation
Agreement for Geospatial Information and Services Cooperation).
This hesitation goes back to the Congress-led UPA era when the prevailing political orientation in the Cabinet remained wary of entering into any military-related agreement with the US in a formal manner, lest it be perceived as the beginning of an alliance – however invalid the proposition was.
Vibrant democracies,
India and the US have a history of an estranged and bitter security-cum-strategic
relationship that was tentatively overcome in 2005. Now, the challenge for both
capitals is to nurture and sustain a domestic political consensus that
will be able to locate the bilateral in the context of the many radical global
changes that characterise the early 21st century.
Critical to both countries is the rise of China. The current combination of prickly nationalism and asserting the primacy of Beijing’s version of history is more visible in the Xi Jinping leadership. Yet in the current contour of globalisation, these three nations – the US, China, and India have no option but to remain economically engaged, even as they seek to manage their complex security dissonances.
In this context, the visit to China on 20 April by the Indian National Security Advisor (NSA), Ajit Doval, for the SR (Special Representative) acquires salience. The SR framework was constituted during NDA-1, when PM Vajpayee was at the helm in Delhi to provide a high-level forum for managing the unresolved territorial and border dispute. However, despite 18 rounds of such meetings, there has been little visible progress between India and China. On occasion, the incursions of troops across each other’s perceived line of actual control (LAC) had the potential to spiral out of political control.
An astute assessment would indicate that the only option for India to manage this uneasy and imbalanced bilateral with China would be to enhance its own composite national power – particularly the economic, technological and military strands. In this endeavour, the US can be a valuable partner for the long-term, as it represents the high end of the global spectrum in military technology and will be the world’s second largest single-state GDP – even if China were to overtake it soon.
The tactical dissonance on India’s part in relation to the US is the latter’s regional policy which seeks to indulge Pakistan despite its many transgressions – ranging from the AQ Khan nuclear Walmart, to the support to radical state-nurtured groups that are committed to jihadi terror. The US is unlikely to make any change to this policy in the near future, and Afghanistan is a case in point, where the current Beltway orientation is to accept even the death of US troops through Pakistani perfidy.
India will have to acquire the perspicacity and patience to stay the course in its engagement with the US, if it wishes to realise the long-term objective – enhancing India’s holistic military profile over the next decade.
Reiterating Delhi’s fidelity to the DTTI in an unambiguous manner during Ashton Carter’s visit would be a welcome first step.
(The writer is a leading expert on strategic affairs. He is currently Director, Society for Policy Studies)
Also read:
Budget 2016: An Intriguing Trapeze in Defence Expenditure
Nuclear Security Summit: It’s the Subtext Which is Disturbing
(At The Quint, we question everything. Play an active role in shaping our journalism by becoming a member today.)
Published: 11 Apr 2016,07:23 PM IST