India Today- Axis Bihar Exit Polls: Clear Win For Mahagathbandhan

The MGB is expected to win 139-161 seats, with the NDA expected to win only 69-91.

As voting is underway for the third and final phase of the Assembly elections in Bihar, all eyes are on the exit polls to be declared on the evening of Saturday, 7 November.

(Photo: The Quint)

The exit poll numbers are in as the final votes have been polled in the last phase of the three-phase Bihar elections. The results for the same will be declared on 10 November.

Here's what the India Today- Axis My India survey said about the fate of Bihar politics.

Clean Sweep For Mahagathbandhan

The India Today-Axis My India survey predicts a clear win for the Mahagathbandhan with 139-161 seats. The NDA is expected to win only about 69-91 seats, according to the survey.

The LJP and GDSF are expected to win 3-5 seats each.

Tejashwi Yadav Popular CM Choice

The India Today-Axis My India survey said that RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav was the most popular choice for the chief minister's chair. Leading the Mahagathbandhan coalition, Yadav was the choice for 44 percent of respondents, compared to incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar's 35 percent.

The LJP's Chirag Paswan came in with 7 percent, said the survey.

Which Issue Mattered Most?

According to the survey development and unemployment were the most important issues in the state with 42 percent and 30 percent positive responses respectively.

Inflation was the third most important issue with 11 percent responses. PM Modi and political parties had 3 percent of the responses each.

Youth Votes For MGB, Seniors For NDA

The survey shows that young voters, in the age categories of 18-25 and 26-35 years, are voting for the Mahagathbandhan. 47 percent of voters in these categories responded in favour of the RJD-led coalition.

In the 36-50 years category, there was a neck-to-neck battle with 42 percent voting in favour of NDA and 41 percent in favour of the MGB.

The older voters are tending towards the NDA. In the 51-60 category, 45 percent are voting for the NDA, while 48 percent in the 60-plus category are also voting for the NDA.

The MGB has 40 percent and 48 percent voteshare in these categories respectively.

Region-Wise Vote/Seat Share

BHOJPUR (49 SEATS)

The survey says that of the 49 seats in Bhojpur, the MGB will have 45 percent vote share with 33 seats. The NDA, on the other hand, has 33 percent voteshare with 9 seats.

The LJP is expected to bag just one seat from the area and and the GDSF two.

CHAMPARAN (18 SEATS)

In the Champaran region, the vote share of the MGB is expected to be 42 percent with 10 seats. The NDA is expected to win 44 percent of the voteshare but with 8 seats.

KOSI (31 SEATS)

In the Kosi area it is a 45 percent voteshare for the MGB with the coalition expected to win 23 seats. The NDA is expected to get 39 percent of the votes with 8 seats.

The LJP is again expected to get one seat with 6 percent of the voteshare.

MITHILANCHAL (60 SEATS)

In the Mithilanchal region, the MGB is expected to win 43 percent voteshare with 36 seats, while the NDA is expected to win 43 percent voteshare as well, but to log only 23 seats to its tally.

PATALIPUTRA-MAGADH (61 SEATS)

In the urban centres of Pataliputra and Magadh, the MGB is expected to win 46 percent of the votes with 33 seats. The NDA is expected to gain 38 percent of the votes with 26 seats.

The LJP is expected to win seat, while the GDSF is expected to go seat-less.

SEEMANCHAL (24 SEATS)

With 41 percent voteshare the MGB is expected to win 15 seats in Seemanchal. The NDA, with 40 voteshare, is however expected to win only 6 states. The GDSF is expected to win 3 while the LJP may go seatless.