ABP Poll Predicts BJP Losing Majority in MP, Raj and Chhattisgarh

The ABP opinion poll came out on a day when the election dates were announced for all the three states. 

(Photo: Harsh Sahani/The Quint)

An ABP opinion poll for the states of Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, all going to polls later this year, has predicted victory for the Congress in all three states.

The ABP opinion poll came out on Saturday, 6 October, when the election dates were also announced for all the three states by the EC.

Here are the projections in terms of the seat and vote share for the three states:

RAJASTHAN

The ABP opinion poll predicts a massive win for the Congress in the Rajasthan Assembly election, with the party getting 142 of the 200 seats, while the BJP is reduced to just 56 seats. The 'Others', meanwhile, are predicted to get two seats.

In terms of the vote share, the Congress has been predicted to get 50 percent of the votes, while the BJP 34 percent. The 'Others' are expected to garner 16 percent of the vote share.

MADHYA PRADESH

In the 230-member Madhya Pradesh Assembly, the Congress has once again been predicted to get a majority with 122 seats. The BJP, meanwhile, is behind with 108 seats, and the 'Others' getting none.

As far as the vote-share percentage is concerned, there is predicted to be a difference of only 0.7 percent between the Congress and the BJP – the former getting 42.2 percent and the latter getting 41.5 percent. Meanwhile, the 'Others' are projected to get 16.3 percent of the vote share.

CHHATTISGARH

Finally, in the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly, the Congress is projected to get 47 seats, while the BJP would be behind with 40 seats. The 'Others' are expected to get just three seats.

In terms of the vote share, a marginal difference of 0.3 percent is predicted between the Congress and BJP – with the former getting 38.9 percent and the latter 38.6 percent.

The Assembly election in Chhattisgarh would be held in two phases – on 12 and 20 November. In Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram, the polls would be held on 28 November. And in Telangana and Rajasthan, the elections would be held on 7 December.

The counting of votes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Mizoram and Telangana would be held on 11 December