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India’s traditional air superiority is now under “threat”, as China and Pakistan are rapidly modernising their air force, a top US think-tank warned today, underlining that resolving the “crisis” should be a priority for the government.
Authored by Ashley Tellis, an American expert on India and South Asia, the report The Manifold Travails of the Indian Air Force argues that Indian air dominance is vital for deterrence stability in southern Asia.
The expert whose counsel is sought by governments in both the countries, states that the dominance is necessary for preserving the strategic balance in the Indo-Pacific region.
The IAF’s fighter force, as of early 2016, is weaker than the numbers suggest, the report said, adding that at nominally 36.5 squadrons, it is well short of its sanctioned strength, and many of its frontline aircraft are obsolete.
China and Pakistan field about 750 advanced air defence/multirole fighters against the IAF’s 450-odd equivalents, the report said.
Though the airfield infrastructure limitations in Tibet prevent China from bringing all of its air capabilities to bear against India, yet after 2025, China could be able to deploy anywhere between 300 and 400 sophisticated aircraft against India, in addition to the 100 to 200 advanced fighters likely to exist in Pakistan by then, it said.
The IAF’s likelihood of reaching its 2027 goal with a high proportion of advanced fighters is poor, Tellis concluded in his report. It concludes:
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