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Six Assembly seats from Gujarat will go to polls on 21 October along with over 60 Assembly seats spread across 18 states. Earlier the Election Commission had only declared bypolls in four Assembly seats from the state, and later added two more to the total.
Four of the six seats were vacated by MLAs who won the 2019 general elections and moved on to the Lok Sabha, where as the remaining two were vacated by former Congress leaders who defected to the BJP.
The trends are clear that all six seats are likely to be gobbled up by the saffron party, which continues to ride high after sweeping the Lok Sabha elections convincingly. The Congress still seems to be picking up the pieces.
The Congress was thoroughly routed during the general elections held earlier this year, including in Gujarat where the BJP clinched all 26 seats.
The political capital earned two years ago during the 2017 Assembly elections has been squandered and according to political analyst Hemant Kumar Shah, the Congress party workers at ground level are absolutely demotivated.
According Shah, Alpesh Thakor, who defected from the Congress to the BJP, may get the party ticket and comfortably win the bypoll in Radhanpur.
Over the last 12 months, seven MLAs have quit the party and joined the BJP.
The Gujarat Assembly has 182 seats of which 100 are with the BJP, 69 with the Congress, two with the Bhartiya Tribal Party (BTP), one with Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) and one independent candidate. This leaves 9 seats vacant, of which six will go to polls on 21 October.
The first four seats that were declared by the Election Commission are Amraiwadi, Kheralu, Lunawada and Tharad. BJP MLA from Amraiwadi, Hasmukh Patel, had replaced Paresh Rawal as the candidate for the Ahmedabad East Lok Sabha seat and won with a margin of 3.26 lakh votes.
Kheralu MLA, Bharatsinh Dabhi won the Patan Lok Sabha Seat by 1.94 lakh votes, whereas Lunwada MLA Ratansinh Rathod won the Panchmahals LS seat with a margin of 4.14 lakh votes. The irrigation and water supply minister of Gujarat Prabhat Patel, who is an MLA from Tharad, won the Banaskantha seat with a margin of 3.68 lakh votes.
The last two seats that were added by the EC are Radhanpur and Bayad which were won by Congressmen Alpesh Thakor and Dhavalsinh Zhala during the 2017 Assembly elections.
The remaining three seats – Morva Hadaf, Dwarka and Talala – although vacant, are caught up in litigation. Bhupendrasinh Khant, MLA from Morva Hadaf, a seat reserved for Scheduled Tribes, was disqualified for possessing an invalid caste certificate.
MLAs of Dwarka and Talala Assembly seats were also disqualified after they were convicted in criminal cases, but the matter of their disqualification is under litigation.
The results of the bypolls will be declared on 24 October.
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