Exit Poll Results 2022 Live: Himachal Voters Split but Gujarat Sticks to BJP
Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Exit Poll Results Live: Catch all the updates here.
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Exit Poll Results 2022 of Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Elections Live Updates: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will retain an overwhelming majority in Gujarat, while Congress and BJP will be in neck-to-neck contest in the hill state of Himachal Pradesh, indicated exit polls on Monday, 5 December.
As the second and final phase of Gujarat Assembly elections drew to an end on Monday, various agencies released the exit polls for the border state and hill state, where polls were conducted on 12 November.
This is what the exit polls for both the states showed:
After counting of votes, the results of both the state Assembly elections will be declared on 8 December
A voter turnout of 65.92 percent was recorded in the Himachal Assembly elections
There are 68 constituencies in the hill state, so a party will need to secure 35 seats in order to ensure majority
Meanwhile, in Gujarat, a voter turnout of 58.68 percent was recorded till 5 pm on Monday
There are 182 seats in the border state, so a party will need to cross 92 seats to secure a majority
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Exit Polls To Be Tracked
The various exit polls scheduled to be released are India Today-Axis My India, ABP-CVoter, Times Now, Republic-PMARQ, and India TV-IPSOS.
Embargo on Himachal Exit Polls Till 6:30 PM
The Himachal Pradesh Chief Election Officer notified that the results of exit poll for the state can be released only after 6:30 pm.
Gujarat Elections May Determine if AAP Becomes a National Party. Here's How
The results of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections may determine whether the Aam Aadmi Party gets recognised as a national party in the immediate future.
As per experts, while Gujarat will be a triangular contest between Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP), Congress and the AAP, Himachal is more likely to retain its two-party nature.
But why is this important? and what does this mean for AAP? Read here.
Gujarat: A Clash of 'Models' Between BJP, Congress, and AAP
It is a clash of models in Gujarat. The BJP has been in power for about 27 years in the state, barring 1996 when Shankersinh Vaghela became the chief minister for a year with outside support from the Congress.
The 2017 elections saw Congress deliver its best performance in 32 years, bagging 77 of the 182 seats. Several of its MLAs, however, defected to the BJP.
This time it is the BJP, Congress, and the Aam Aadmi Party that Gujarat has to choose from. In the last 32 years, no other party has challenged the BJP’s election machinery the way AAP has.
To read what each model offers to the average Gujarati, click here.
Himachal Pradesh Election: Data Says Advantage BJP But There Are a Few X-Factors
With just 68 Assembly seats, Himachal Pradesh is a small but complex state and elections here aren't easy to predict.
Most seats have under 90,000 voters and some, like Lahaul & Spiti, have less than 30,000. Lesser voters means narrower margins. A few thousand votes could change equations in a seat, rebel candidates polling even a few hundred votes could make the difference between winning and losing for the bigger parties.
However, there are a few broad trends that are clearly visible in the poll-bound state. The Quint's Aditya Menon examined these with the help of data, inputs from the ground and a little bit of history. To read more, click here.
BJP-Congress to See Tough Fight in Himachal
As per exit polls by Republic TV-PMARQ, BJP and Congress will witness a tight contest in Himachal Pradesh. Here is how the numbers look:
BJP: 34-39
Congres: 28-33
AAP: 0-1
The vote share in the state looks like:
BJP: 44.8%
Congress: 42.9%
AAP: 2.8%
Others: 9.5%
Landslide Victory for BJP in Gujarat
As per TV9 exit polls, the numbers look like:
BJP: 125-130
Congress: 40-50
AAP: 03-05
OTH: 03-07
BJP to Sweep Gujarat, Congress a Distant Second
As per Republic-PMARQ exit polls, BJP will garner an overwhelming majority of 128-148 seats in Gujarat, while Congress will be a distant second with 30-42 seats.
The vote share in the state looks like:
BJP: 48.2%
Congress: 32.6%
AAP: 15.4%
Others: 3.8%
Himachal: BJP To Pass Majority Mark by Thin Margin
BJP will pass the majority mark in Himachal by a thin margin, indicate exit polls by Times Now-ETG.
The seat share in the state is projected to look like:
BJP - 38
CONGRESS - 28
AAP - 0
OTHERS - 2
The vote share in the state is:
BJP: 45.1%
Congress: 40.9%
AAP: 5.3%
Others: 8.7%
BJP-Congress Eyeing Hung Assembly in Himachal
According to India Today-Axis My India exit polls, the BJP and Congress are to be locked in a tight race in Himachal, with the seat share being:
BJP: 24-34
Congress: 30-40
AAP: 0
The vote share is projected to be:
BJP: 42%
Congress: 44%
AAP: 2%
Others: 12%
BJP Projected To Touch Majority Mark, Congress Close Behind
BJP is projected to touch the majority mark in Himachal, as per exit polls by NewsX-Jan Ki Baat. The seat share in the state looks like:
BJP: 32-40
Congress: 27-34
AAP: 0
OTH: 1-2
The vote share in the state looks like:
BJP: 45-48%
Congress: 42-44%
AAP: 1-2%
OTH: 7-11%
Gujarat To See Another BJP Wave
BJP is projected to win Gujarat by an overwhelming margin, with Congress only eyeing a seat share of 34-51, reported NewsX- Jan Ki Baat.
BJP: 117-140
Congress: 34-51
AAP: 6-13
The seat share in the border state looks like:
BJP: 44-49%
Congress: 28-32%
AAP: 12-19%
Others: 07-09%
Overwhelming Mandate for BJP in Gujarat
BJP will sweep polls in Gujarat, indicated exit polls by India Today-Axis My India.
The seat share in the state is projected to look like:
BJP: 129-151
Congress: 16-30
AAP: 9-21
Others: 2-6
Meanwhile, the vote share looks like this:
BJP - 46%
Congress - 26%
AAP - 20%
Others- 8%
BJP to Sweep Gujarat, Again
As per the ABP-CVoter exit polls, BJP will sweep the state of Gujarat. The seat share in the state looks like:
BJP: 128-140
Congress: 31-43
AAP: 3-11
Other: 2-6
The vote share in the state is projected to look like:
BJP: 49%
Congress: 33%
AAP: 15%
Other: 3%
BJP Heading Towards Another Landslide Victory in Gujarat
Gujarat will see another BJP wave, while Congress will be a distant second, indicated the Times Now-ETG exit poll.
The seat share is projected to be:
BJP: 139
Congress: 30
AAP: 11
Others: 2
The vote share in the state will look like:
BJP - 46.7%
Congress -23.4%
AAP - 24.2%
Others: 5.7%
Congress, BJP Race for Majority Mark in Himachal
Voters will be split between BJP and Congress in Himachal, with both the party locked into a tight contest, showed exit polls by ABP-CVoter.
The seat share in the state looks like:
BJP: 33-41
Congress: 24-32
AAP: 0
Others: 0-4
The vote share in the state is expected to look like:
BJP: 44.9%
Congress: 41.1%
AAP: 2.1%
Others: 11.9%
Exit Polls Will Be Proved Wrong: AAP Gujarat CM Candidate
The Aam Aadmi Party's (AAP's) Gujarat Chief Ministerial candidate Isudan Gadhvi said that it was difficult to predict results through exit polls.
"BJP won't form govt, we'll win over 51 seats in phase 1 while over 52 seats in phase 2. Exit polls will be proved wrong. BJP is declining in the state," he told news agency ANI.
BJP, People of Gujarat Scripting History: Gujarat Home Minister
Reacting to the prediction of several exit polls, Gujarat Home Minister Harsh Sanghavi said that the BJP, along with the people of Gujarat, is scripting new history.
"The people of Gujarat have fought the elections more than the BJP. Our party, BJP, will further expedite the development in the state," he told news agency ANI.